Crypto Intelligence

Bitcoin cycle indicators.

Live, data-driven market cycle tools — built to help you read where we are in the cycle. Each indicator updates automatically and is explained in plain English.

Pi Cycle Top Indicator

Uses two moving averages of Bitcoin's price to flag historic cycle tops. When the faster average crosses above the slower one, it has historically marked major peaks.

Current Signal
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What it means

The Pi Cycle Top tracks the 111-day moving average and twice the value of the 350-day moving average of Bitcoin's price. Historically, when the 111-day MA rises up to cross the 350-day MA × 2, Bitcoin has been at or very near a market cycle top — within a few days, across multiple cycles.

The further apart the two lines are, the more "room" there theoretically is before a top. When they converge, it's historically been a signal that the market is overheating. A wide gap suggests we're not near a top; a near-cross is a caution signal.

It's a long-term, big-picture tool — not a day-trading signal — and like all indicators, past performance doesn't guarantee future results.

Mayer Multiple

The ratio of Bitcoin's price to its 200-day moving average. A simple, battle-tested gauge of whether BTC is historically cheap or expensive relative to its long-term trend.

Current Multiple
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What it means

The Mayer Multiple is simply today's Bitcoin price divided by its 200-day moving average. It tells you how stretched the price is from its long-term baseline.

Historically: a reading below 1.0 has often marked accumulation zones (price below its 200-day average — historically a value area), while readings above 2.4 have frequently coincided with overheated, late-cycle conditions where caution paid off.

Between those extremes is the normal range. It's one of the cleanest "cheap vs. expensive" reads in all of Bitcoin analysis precisely because it's so simple.

Bull Market Support Band

The zone between the 20-week SMA and the 21-week EMA. In bull markets, Bitcoin tends to hold above this band; losing it has often signalled a shift in trend.

Price vs. Band
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What it means

The Bull Market Support Band combines the 20-week simple moving average and the 21-week exponential moving average into a single "band." It acts as a dynamic line of support during bull markets.

When Bitcoin is trading above the band, the longer-term trend is generally considered healthy — historically these have been times to hold or accumulate. When price falls below and stays below the band, it has often signalled the end of bullish momentum and a shift toward a corrective or bear phase.

It's widely watched precisely because it's kept holders on the right side of the major trend across multiple cycles.

200-Week Moving Average Heatmap

Bitcoin's price against its 200-week moving average. Every time price has fallen to touch this line, it has historically marked a generational cycle bottom.

Price vs. 200W MA
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What it means

The 200-week moving average is one of Bitcoin's most reliable long-term support levels. Across its entire history, the price has only briefly dipped to or below this line during the deepest bear-market bottoms — in 2015, 2018-19, and 2022.

The original "heatmap" version colours each price point by how much the 200-week MA increased that month: when monthly growth slows toward zero, it has historically been a strong accumulation signal. Here we plot price against the 200-week MA directly — the closer price sits to the line, the closer to historic value territory.

It's a patient, long-horizon bottom-finder, not a short-term timing tool.

Bitcoin Rainbow Chart

A logarithmic regression band that maps Bitcoin's long-term price into colour zones — from "fire sale" at the bottom to "bubble territory" at the top.

Current Zone
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What it means

The Rainbow Chart fits a logarithmic regression curve through Bitcoin's entire price history, then layers coloured bands above and below it. Each band represents a market mood — from "Fire Sale / Accumulate" at the bottom through to "Maximum Bubble Territory" at the top.

It's best read as a long-term sentiment guide: when price sits in the cool blue/green lower bands, history suggests value; when it climbs into the hot orange/red upper bands, it suggests euphoria and elevated risk.

Important: the Rainbow Chart is a fun, approximate model based on curve-fitting past data — not a precise predictive tool. Treat it as a rough mood ring for the market, not a signal to act on alone.

Weekly RSI

The Relative Strength Index on a weekly timeframe — a momentum oscillator showing when Bitcoin is overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30).

Weekly RSI
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What it means

RSI (Relative Strength Index) measures the speed and size of recent price moves on a scale of 0 to 100. We calculate it on a weekly timeframe to filter out short-term noise and focus on the bigger trend.

Readings above 70 suggest Bitcoin is overbought — momentum is hot and a cooldown or pullback becomes more likely. Readings below 30 suggest oversold conditions, where selling may be exhausted and bounces have historically followed.

Unlike the cycle tools here, RSI is a shorter-term momentum read — most useful for gauging whether the current move is overstretched in either direction.

Bitcoin Profitable Days

The percentage of Bitcoin's entire trading history during which buying and holding until today would have been profitable.

Profitable Days
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What it means

Bitcoin Profitable Days looks back across every single day in Bitcoin's history and asks: if you had bought on that day and held until now, would you be in profit? The indicator is the percentage of days where the answer is yes.

Because Bitcoin has trended up over the long run, this number is usually very high (often 95%+). That's why the rare moments when it dips — meaning even recent buyers are underwater — have historically lined up with deep capitulation lows and strong long-term buying opportunities.

A consistently maxed-out reading reflects a market in profit; meaningful dips are the signal worth watching.

Indicators are computed from Bitcoin's historical price (via CoinGecko) and update hourly. This information is provided for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results — always do your own research.

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